If the High Seas Fleet hid in port earlier, would Britain think about carrier raids sooner?
Short answerProbably; an inactive German fleet in harbour through 1915 could push British thinking about carrier operations forward, though it would also make Jutland less likely.
NotesEarlier British interest in carrier operations becomes plausible if the German fleet remains inert in harbour for an extended period. This is a possible consequence of a much more decisive Dogger Bank rather than a guaranteed policy shift. Moving the main divergence so early could therefore produce a fundamentally different naval war before Jutland.