Q&A · 2:14:51-2:15:24

Cold War deterrence and fewer direct wars

Removing the Cold War also removes the nuclear penalty that helped keep great-power confrontations bounded.

Question

How might the post-1945 world differ without a Cold War?

Short answer

There might be more direct wars because the threat of mutual assured destruction restrained disputes between the largest powers.

Notes

A world without the Cold War could experience more wars after 1945. The reasoning centres on mutual assured destruction. When escalation threatens catastrophic loss for both sides, even hostile powers have a strong incentive to control their disputes. Without that shared danger, more confrontations could cross the threshold into direct war. Nuclear deterrence appears here as destructive power that also constrained great-power behaviour.