A 200-boat German programme and Type 143A shipyard throughput

Using a recalled rate of ten boats in four years, the estimate is at least around 60 and potentially about 120. The result depends on allocating two, three or four yards and maintaining that rate.

Question

If Germany planned more than 200 Type 143 and Type 143A fast attack craft, how many might be built before the Cold War ended?

Short answer

Using a recalled rate of ten boats in four years, the estimate is at least around 60 and potentially about 120. The result depends on allocating two, three or four yards and maintaining that rate.

Notes

The production estimate starts from a recalled output of ten boats between 1981 and 1984, apparently from one yard. A programme of more than 200 would be expected to involve additional builders. Two yards maintaining the same rate would produce twenty boats in four years and forty in eight years. Around sixty is offered as a likely result, with roughly 120 possible if more yards sustain that pace. These are conditional estimates because the number of allocated yards is the decisive unknown.