Will Bab el-Mandeb disruption make South Africa's navy more important, and can it cope?
Short answerThe maritime role would grow, but stronger presence requires investment to recover diminished capabilities.
NotesAn unreliable Bab el-Mandeb route increases the importance of shipping around southern Africa. South Africa's naval capabilities have declined despite its long coastline. Existing forces provide a base, but more presence requires new ships and investment. Like India, South Africa has maritime responsibilities alongside a substantial land border.