Q&A ยท 4:14:59-4:15:10

A recession warning and the case against defence cuts

A 2020 warning linking recession with war also appeared intended to discourage defence cuts.

Question

What should be made of the warning that the recession after COVID could lead to World War III?

Short answer

It raised a reasonable concern and appeared intended to strengthen the case against defence cuts.

Notes

The warning that the recession following COVID could lead to a major war is treated as a reasonable concern. It is also interpreted as an argument against reducing defence spending. The warning could thus have a role in a budget debate as well as a strategic purpose. It does not make a new world war a certain outcome.