What should be made of the warning that the recession after COVID could lead to World War III?
Short answerIt raised a reasonable concern and appeared intended to strengthen the case against defence cuts.
NotesThe warning that the recession following COVID could lead to a major war is treated as a reasonable concern. It is also interpreted as an argument against reducing defence spending. The warning could thus have a role in a budget debate as well as a strategic purpose. It does not make a new world war a certain outcome.