What could cause Italy to seek peace in 1941?
Short answerThe suggested pressures are heavier defeats in Africa or Greece, a failed attack on Malta, or more severe damage at Taranto if Eagle joined Illustrious.
NotesThe follow-up asks what would make an Italian withdrawal plausible within the counterfactual. The proposed pressures include expulsion from North and East Africa, heavier losses in Greece and a failed invasion of Malta. A larger Taranto attack is another suggestion. With HMS Eagle accompanying Illustrious and land-based Swordfish supplementing their air groups, the panel imagines both carriers taking 24 aircraft for a force of about 48. That is the proposed strike strength within the scenario; the claim is that greater damage to the Italian fleet could increase the pressure for peace.