Will Italy eventually build a nuclear carrier to replace Cavour?
Short answerThe forecast favours a conventional successor drawing on Trieste; carrier size and aircraft arrangements would depend on future fleet choices and F-35B experience.
NotesA nuclear-powered successor to Cavour is considered unlikely because it would require substantial additional fleet and task-group skills. A larger conventionally powered carrier remains conceivable in this forecast. The possible successor is imagined at a scale approaching Queen Elizabeth and drawing on the Trieste design. Satisfaction with the F-35B would influence whether Italy retained short-take-off and vertical-landing operations or considered catapults and arresting gear. These are possible future choices discussed in the episode, rather than an announced replacement programme.