Notable Point ยท 1:20:03-1:21:29

Expectations of a more transactional US foreign policy

A February 2025 forecast expects American support to become more conditional while leaving the consequences for established alliances uncertain.

Notes

A more transactional US administration would expect something in return for the support it provides to other countries. The February 2025 forecast leaves the eventual shape of that policy open. Earlier American administrations are compared through their initial overtures to France and subsequent return to established cooperation with Britain. French diplomacy is characterized here as more transactional, a policy choice intended to serve French interests.