Q&A · 2:57:18-2:59:05

Possible responses if the Russian frigate incident escalated

The hypothetical response considers an air strike and wider NATO involvement while leaving the exact British assets present uncertain.

Question

What would have happened if the Russian frigate incident had escalated into a direct attack?

Short answer

An air strike is suggested, with the available aircraft uncertain. The discussion treats sinking the frigate as war with Russia and anticipates wider NATO involvement.

Notes

An escalation beyond firing near the yacht is assessed as likely to bring an air attack on the Russian frigate. F-35Bs and other aircraft are suggested, but the exact forces present are explicitly uncertain. Sinking the frigate is treated as war between Britain and Russia, with an attack on a British unit bringing NATO obligations into the discussion. French and Dutch forces are mentioned as part of the wider allied context.