Could blockade and bombing have forced Japan to surrender without an invasion?
Short answerBlockade alone was unlikely to force a quick surrender because Japan's economy was already wrecked. Limited landings could seize ports from which to tighten the siege.
NotesBlockade and bombing had appeared in British planning as alternatives to a full invasion. Japan's economy was already so badly damaged that further strangulation did not promise a quick new result. Limited landings could seize major ports and turn them into forward bases for a tighter blockade. Invasion and blockade could therefore operate in sequence, with captured lodgments making isolation more effective.