Would Shinzo Abe's assassination sharply increase tensions between China and Japan?
Short answerProbably not by itself, because Abe was a former rather than serving prime minister, although his death still carried diplomatic and symbolic weight.
NotesThe question responds to reports of celebratory Chinese reactions after former Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated. Speaking immediately after the event, the answer doubts that the killing alone will sharply increase state-to-state tensions. It distinguishes the international significance of losing a respected former ally from the institutional shock that would follow the assassination of a serving prime minister. Formal office changes a political figure's immediate leverage even when personal influence and symbolic importance remain.