If the Yonai government survives into 1941

What changes if the Yonai government survives until January 1941?

Japan's path toward war becomes less certain, with an Anglo-Japanese arms-for-fuel arrangement conceivable.

Mitsumasa Yonai's government would probably follow materially different policies and reduce Japan's momentum toward war. One possible course is an exchange of Japanese weapons or ammunition for fuel. Britain after the fall of France might accept supplies routed toward North Africa even if the United States disliked the arrangement. A Japanese offer to escort the shipment would make the trade more valuable.