Why have modern leaders repeatedly underestimated military logistics?
Short answerWars-of-choice thinking assumed friendly control over timing and access, so planners expected to hire civilian lift and build support without serious interference.
NotesIf leaders assume every war begins on their timetable, they can also assume that the opponent lacks the power to disrupt mobilisation. Logistics then appears to be something assembled at leisure with hired civilian transport after the political decision has been made. That model fails when an adversary acts first, denies access, attacks the movement system, or forces combat before the build-up is complete. The answer presents logistics neglect as a consequence of doctrine about enemy agency, not simple forgetfulness.