Chapter · 1:00:17-1:03:33

From wars of choice to uncertain force projection

Clarke and Cummings question whether Britain can continue assuming that operations will be optional, cheap, and coalition-supported.

Notes

The speakers argue that recent policy has encouraged political leaders to believe Britain can select its conflicts and economize on preparations. Experience in Iraq and other coalition campaigns may have reinforced an assumption that the country can decline inconvenient wars or rely on partners to provide missing capacity. Clarke reports hearing the related belief that every future operation will be cheap, limited, and coalition-supported. Cummings questions that confidence against commitments extending toward Australia, New Zealand, and the South China Sea. Britain may possess individual deployable capabilities while remaining uncertain about the role they are meant to sustain at global distance. Declared commitments still have to be measured against lift, endurance, escorts, bases, and political willingness rather than treated as automatic force projection.