Q&A · 2:08:45-2:09:24

US intervention would hinge on escalation rules

The intervention scenario contrasts attacks on PLAN carriers with a possible restriction on strikes against mainland airfields.

Question

If the United States intervened, would Chinese carriers supporting the invasion be targeted?

Short answer

The scenario anticipates attacks on the carriers while leaving open whether strikes on mainland airfields would be permitted.

Notes

The hypothetical intervention includes attacks on Chinese carriers supporting the invasion. It also considers a possible rule against striking airfields on the Chinese mainland. Such a restriction would leave Chinese aircraft able to operate from mainland bases. The extent of permitted targets therefore matters to the shape of the proposed air campaign.