Q&A · 2:37:47-2:39:35

A July 2025 forecast for ending the war

The answer is a dated forecast whose outcome depends on battlefield exhaustion, political leadership, American policy, and whether wider conflicts intervene.

Question

What endgame did the July 2025 discussion predict for the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Short answer

In July 2025, he expected several more years of attrition followed by a negotiated settlement when Russia could no longer advance, probably involving territorial compromise.

Notes

This July 2025 forecast is a dated judgment rather than a known outcome. Immediate diplomacy was not expected to work, and fighting was anticipated to continue toward 2028 before Russia lost the ability to press forward. A settlement might require Ukraine to relinquish some territory, although predicting concessions for another country was described as objectionable. Changes in Russian leadership, the American presidency, or the outbreak of a wider conflict could alter that path sharply. The answer translates the earlier discussion of geography, attrition, and political stakes into a conditional forecast rather than presenting one inevitable ending.