The short war does not produce the occupation or domestic exhaustion that historically transformed Germany. The Kaiser is less likely to abdicate than Tirpitz is to absorb blame for the destruction of the fleet. The army can also argue that the navy failed while executing an army plan, preserving its own institutional prestige. Those escape routes mean German militarism may survive even though the High Seas Fleet does not.
Notable Point · 2:12:38-2:14:25
Tirpitz may fall while militarism survives
A catastrophic naval defeat can be blamed on Tirpitz and an army-directed amphibious plan without dismantling the Kaiser or Germany's wider military culture.