Three possible outcomes: civil war, peace, or delayed conflict

The first possibility is conflict inside Japan, although it would probably not begin at once if forces loyal to the emperor and Yonai held the initial advantage. A second path accepts the imperial decision and produces a negotiated peace, while a third uses withdrawal as time to modernize for a later Pacific war. These outcomes depend on whether the government can control returning troops, preserve trade, and hold the military coalition together. One diplomatic agreement does not automatically create a peaceful Japan, so each outcome remains conditional.