Chapter · 25:48-33:42

A German invitation rumor brings Moscow to London

The most plausible trigger for Soviet attendance is a longer-lived rumor that Germany might join the 1930 conference.

Notes

Historical Soviet interest in attending rose when German participation seemed possible, before France and the United States quickly quashed the rumor. A longer-lived rumor, or a quicker reaction from Stalin, provides a smaller divergence than inventing a new merchant empire or global naval need. Moscow could send its naval chief of staff alongside a senior diplomat such as Maxim Litvinov or Vyacheslav Molotov. Their purpose would be to prevent a German advantage and gain influence over the rules. Stalin's priority remained Soviet security rather than international prestige for its own sake.