Would Sweden risk German invasion by helping Norway?
Short answerIn this scenario, the losses and shipping commitments imposed by Norway are expected to leave Germany without the amphibious means to invade Sweden.
NotesThe answer treats Germany's amphibious resources as a constraint on retaliation against Sweden. Germany had committed heavily to Norway, where destroyer losses already reduced its ability to mount further operations. Swedish intervention is expected to inflict additional losses on ships and transport capacity. Under those conditions, the argument is that Germany would lack the means to invade Sweden by sea.