Q&A · 18:43-20:37

Why outside intervention may prolong a civil war

US air and naval power could create a short-term battlefield advantage in Sudan while weakening the winner's legitimacy and driving opponents underground.

Question

Could US air and naval intervention on the Sudanese Armed Forces' side accelerate the end of the Sudanese Civil War?

Short answer

It could deliver a short-term military advantage, but might delegitimise the winner and extend the fighting as a guerrilla war.

Notes

US air and naval power could give the Sudanese Armed Forces an overwhelming short-term advantage. The defeated opponent might disperse instead of accepting the result, turning the conflict into a longer guerrilla war. Open backing could also weaken the winner's legitimacy by making victory appear foreign-delivered. Limited, deniable pressure is presented as less destabilising than overt intervention, with an explicit caveat that travel had prevented a review of the latest news.