Matthew's continuing comment expects Germany's limited fleet numbers to restrict the benefit of better air defense. For Italy, intercepting the attack that disabled Pola could prevent the losses at Cape Matapan and preserve heavy cruisers for later operations. Improved British air defense would also preserve ships, so the Mediterranean balance could remain broadly similar while different engagements became decisive. Japan might retain more ships, but American numbers would still count. Another possibility is a reinforced British force reaching Singapore and preventing its fall. These are conditional alternatives rather than a single predicted course of the war. Greater survival and more consequential surface actions could encourage greater postwar investment in cruisers. A separate caution concerns fire-control tables that might still struggle with aircraft as slow as the Swordfish.
Notable Point · 1:52:03-1:53:51
Better air defense at Cape Matapan and in the Pacific
Stronger naval air defense could change particular losses and surface actions while leaving numerical strength decisive.