Which navy is most likely to acquire an aircraft carrier for the first time?
Short answerSouth Korea is the candidate suggested in July 2023, based on the value of a mobile airfield and concerns about regional carrier development.
NotesSouth Korea is suggested in July 2023 as a likely next navy to acquire a carrier. A carrier would provide a mobile airfield that could move into or out of strike range, unlike fixed bases on the peninsula. The assessment also points to historical tensions with Japan and Japanese carrier development. Those concerns are offered as reasons for seeking the capability, without establishing that a programme would proceed.