Notable Point · 1:20:18-1:22:39

A smaller Allied carrier force could still hurt Operation C

Even without numerical parity, a two- or three-carrier Allied force might damage the Japanese carriers at night, though a surviving Japanese air group would remain dangerous in daylight.

Notes

Indomitable alone could not defeat the Japanese carrier force assembled for Operation C; one isolated carrier would be overwhelmed. The historical Eastern Fleet's carriers might have forced a withdrawal if a night strike found and badly damaged the Japanese formation. The risk runs both ways, because surviving Japanese carriers and veteran air groups could answer in daylight and probably overwhelm a weakened British force. In the counterfactual, Indomitable, Formidable, and at least one American carrier make a roughly three-carrier Allied group plausible. That force still needs reconnaissance, surprise, and luck, but its ability to strike at range means numerical inferiority is not the same as strategic helplessness.