If Germany launched despite the obstacles, the suggested outcome combines elements of both worst-case scenarios. British ships would intercept much of the invasion force, but some barges could slip through while fighting occupied the defenders elsewhere. Germany would probably lose much of its remaining destroyer and cruiser strength, together with large numbers of barges and tugboats. Britain could still suffer the strategic consequences of enemy troops reaching its shores, even while winning the naval battle.
Notable Point · 1:01:40-1:02:31
A failed invasion with costs for both sides
The proposed likeliest result combines heavy German losses at sea with a few landings that unsettle British home-defense planning.