Notable Point · 49:42-51:19

Sea Ceptor's success creates its own modernization risk

CAMM exceeded expectations in flexibility and improvement, but satisfaction with a successful missile can make institutions reluctant to alter or replace it.

Notes

Sea Ceptor, or CAMM, followed Sea Wolf and has exceeded expectations for flexibility, adaptability and scope for improvement. Its cold-launch sequence illustrates a missile credited with helping Type 31 sales. Satisfaction with that success raises a concern about future development. Decision-makers could become reluctant to improve or replace the system because they fear spoiling something that works well. Continued dissatisfaction with small shortcomings is preferred as an incentive to keep improving. The warning concerns a possible institutional response to success, without claiming that modernization has already stopped.