The first scenario still removes Torch, simplifies Malta supply, and places more Allied naval power in the Indian Ocean even though metropolitan France has fallen. Japan then faces a choice between striking Pearl Harbor and approaching a powerful British-led fleet around Singapore. A carrier force can cross the central Pacific while avoiding major shipping lanes and observation points. Reaching the Indian Ocean requires passage through crowded, Allied-controlled straits or a much longer route around Australia, making an eastern strike more plausible than a surprise attack on the reinforced British position.
Notable Point · 1:12:06-1:13:46
A stronger Indian Ocean fleet reshapes Japan's target choice
Even if only the French fleet escapes, Japan faces a harder choice between Pearl Harbor and a visible approach to a powerful Allied fleet.