Q&A · 2:46:17-2:46:38

How the Russian Navy may absorb Ukraine-war lessons

A short answer describes accountability and adaptation as simultaneous parts of Russian military learning rather than mutually exclusive outcomes.

Question

Will the Russian Navy learn from the war in Ukraine or chiefly blame individuals for failure?

Short answer

Both blame and institutional learning are likely because successors have a strong incentive not to repeat the failures attributed to their predecessors.

Notes

Russian institutions are expected to blame individuals while still extracting operational lessons from failure. Harsh treatment of a predecessor becomes an incentive for the next commander to identify and avoid the same mistakes.