Notable Point · 50:39-52:16

Russian expansion could make India or East Asia the next war

A short European war leaves Russia strong enough that rivalry over India or renewed conflict with Japan could replace Germany as the central postwar threat.

Notes

The imagined Channel battle would not end great-power competition even if Germany were quickly defeated. A largely intact Russia might next clash with Britain over India or return to war with Japan in East Asia. The argument rests on a long-running Russian strategy of expanding toward defensible geographic boundaries, driven by a persistent sense of insecurity. Britain's rebuilding choices would depend on the theater and opponent its next fleet was expected to face.