If Russia loses Tartus, where could it establish a replacement Mediterranean naval base?
Short answerThe alternatives considered are Algeria and Libya, although neither is expected to reproduce the dependable political support Tartus had provided.
NotesAlgeria is considered a possible host whose reliability as an ally remains uncertain. Libya's large Russian mercenary presence could make access easier to secure, although its weak and unreliable state presents another problem. Neither option is expected to provide the same stable and supportive relationship that Russia had at Tartus. Russia might obtain a replacement facility, but obtaining nothing remains a possibility.