A public accustomed to remote operations may experience the first human losses as a much larger political shock. An opponent less concerned about inflicting casualties could treat that sensitivity as an opportunity to compel surrender. The calculation assumes that shock will produce retreat rather than anger and mobilisation. Historical attacks using that logic have instead tended to widen conflict and sustain retaliation until the attacked side believes the danger cannot recur. That danger is compounded when leaders believe their own propaganda that their state or method is uniquely exempt from the pattern. Casualty sensitivity can therefore drive escalation into total war while willingness to fight persists or hardens.
Notable Point · 14:34-18:07
Remote warfare can magnify the shock of casualties
Distance from routine losses may encourage an adversary to expect casualties to force surrender, even though historical shocks have often hardened resistance.