The convoy counterfactual stays bounded: it does not claim that the reinforcements would reverse the Pacific campaign. The added fighters, anti-aircraft weapons, field artillery, and experienced officers could have multiplied Singapore's defensive strength and bought time for Commonwealth forces to organize. The destination of a logistics package can matter as much as the weapons themselves. In the war-game example, the artillery and air power strengthen the defence of the Singapore Strait without removing the wider operational problems facing the garrison.
Notable Point ยท 28:09-30:02
Could the convoy have changed Singapore's defence?
The diverted convoy probably could not save the Philippines, but its aircraft, guns, and experienced personnel might have strengthened Singapore.