China's fast construction does not prove that it will fail to maintain its fleet, because the state is also building supporting infrastructure. Prudent planning assumes opponents are at least as intelligent and capable as one's own forces until evidence proves otherwise. If that estimate is too high, the resulting fight is easier; if it is right, the force is prepared. Real enemies will usually be weaker in some areas and stronger in others, so useful assessment looks for uneven capabilities rather than a comforting global stereotype.
Notable Point · 1:20:24-1:22:13
Plan as though the opponent is capable
Prudent force planning assumes an opponent can sustain and employ its fleet, then looks for specific strengths and weaknesses instead of relying on contempt.