Chapter ยท 3:00-12:18

Pearl Harbor as a high-risk Japanese gamble

The opening reframes Pearl Harbor as a risky operation that succeeded after the United States ignored repeated warnings from Taranto and British experience.

Notes

Conspiracy explanations do not account for the decision to leave so much of the Pacific Fleet exposed at Pearl Harbor. Japan's long, radio-silent approach carried far more risk than the Royal Navy's heavily supported Taranto operation. Mountbatten's October 1941 warning showed that the danger from carrier bombers was already understood, and his comparison with Japan's surprise attack on Port Arthur made the peacetime assumptions harder to defend. Institutional inertia turned several credible warnings into missed opportunities because American commanders did not convert them into defenses.