How might a Russian amphibious landing at Odesa have unfolded in March 2022?
Short answerRussian forces might get ashore, but advancing through a prepared city with regular defenders would be far harder than the landing itself.
NotesOdesa's waterfront showed visible efforts at reinforcement with large concrete obstacles and other defences. More important, the city had days to prepare urban positions and could contain regular Ukrainian formations held back to stiffen local resistance. Russian naval gunfire and available lift might be enough to put troops ashore. Once landed, however, those troops would face a different equation involving prepared streets, defenders, logistics, and the need to expand a vulnerable beachhead. Successful landing craft movement does not prove that the force can seize its operational objective. This is explicitly a contemporary assessment from the stream's March 2022 context.