Q&A ยท 2:39:04-2:40:32

Getting ashore is not the same as taking Odesa

A March 2022 landing assessment separates the fleet's ability to reach the beach from the much harder task of advancing into a prepared city.

Question

How might a Russian amphibious landing at Odesa have unfolded in March 2022?

Short answer

Russian forces might get ashore, but advancing through a prepared city with regular defenders would be far harder than the landing itself.

Notes

Odesa's waterfront showed visible efforts at reinforcement with large concrete obstacles and other defences. More important, the city had days to prepare urban positions and could contain regular Ukrainian formations held back to stiffen local resistance. Russian naval gunfire and available lift might be enough to put troops ashore. Once landed, however, those troops would face a different equation involving prepared streets, defenders, logistics, and the need to expand a vulnerable beachhead. Successful landing craft movement does not prove that the force can seize its operational objective. This is explicitly a contemporary assessment from the stream's March 2022 context.