Q&A · 15:52-16:18

O'Connor, Greece, and German intervention

A compact counterfactual asks whether O'Connor could have finished the Italian army before Rommel arrived and whether Germany would still have entered Greece.

Question

Could O'Connor have finished the Italians before Rommel arrived, and would Germany still have intervened in Greece without a British threat to its flank?

Short answer

O'Connor's prospects remain uncertain in wargames, while German intervention in Greece was still likely.

Notes

The first part remains a genuine wargaming problem rather than a settled historical result. Simulations discussed here divide between outcomes in which O'Connor succeeds and outcomes in which he does not. German intervention in Greece would probably still have happened even without the British move that threatened Germany's flank. Keeping the two Mediterranean counterfactuals separate makes the uncertainty explicit.