Any German-held part of the American northeast would probably face a persistent insurgency. Britain might protect German supply lines during the coalition war, then advise Germany to withdraw and end official support after peace. Germany's earlier arms sales to the Boers supply the model for a final irony: Britain could openly sell weapons to American resistance while claiming the same commercial freedom Germany had exercised. The counterfactual separates temporary alliance obligations from postwar political interests and arms-market behaviour.
Notable Point · 2:19:40-2:23:46
Occupation, insurgency, and the limits of a wartime alliance
The scenario separates British wartime support for a German expedition from Britain's likely response to a harsh postwar occupation.