Q&A ยท 2:45:16-2:45:35

A North Korean follow-up to the Korean War air-force scenario

The follow-up receives a negative answer based on the limited improvement attributed to North Korea's air force.

Question

Could North Korea's air force at the time of the recording achieve the result proposed in the earlier Korean War counterfactual?

Short answer

No; it is assessed as having improved too little and retaining too many problems.

Notes

A follow-up substitutes the Korean People's Army Air Force for the Chinese force in the earlier counterfactual. In this 2025 assessment, North Korea's air force offers too little improvement over its Korean War predecessor to make the scenario effective. Persistent problems underlie that judgment, although a detailed comparison of aircraft and supporting infrastructure is left open.