A hypothetical Korean merchant ship seeks safety in Japanese territorial waters and is hit by a missile. Mistaken identification or electronic countermeasures could produce such an incident even when neither combatant intended it. Japan could then declare a large maritime safety zone to protect shipping. In the scenario, that zone reaches close enough to Taiwan to complicate Chinese efforts to stop neutral trade without bringing more countries into the conflict.
Notable Point · 19:11-21:16
A missile hitting neutral shipping could widen the Taiwan crisis
A hypothetical attack on a Korean ship in Japanese waters shows how neutral shipping could become an escalation problem.