Notable Point · 1:10:47-1:12:32

Spending earlier to shorten the dreadnought race

The First World War cost Britain far more than the pre-war naval race, raising the counterfactual that a larger early dreadnought lead might have reduced later strategic pressure.

Notes

The enormous daily cost of the First World War is contrasted with the smaller burden of the preceding naval arms race. Spending somewhat more at the beginning could have secured a decisive British lead earlier and eased pressure in the Anglo-German relationship. Four, or even nine, fast 14-inch dreadnoughts would have forced competitors to chase a much larger technical gap. German claims that an 11-inch gun matched a British 12-inch gun would be much harder to sustain against 14-inch weapons. This would not guarantee peace, but it shows how much more an economy can pay for war than for earlier deterrent capacity.