Could Lütjens have succeeded Raeder as Kriegsmarine commander?

Where might Lütjens have stood in the German naval high command if he had returned from a second successful Atlantic sortie?

He would probably have become the leading successor to Raeder ahead of Dönitz, because bringing major surface forces home from two successful raids would have given him exceptional standing.

Operation Berlin had already brought Scharnhorst and Gneisenau back from a successful Atlantic raid. Returning from another major sortie would have raised Lütjens's standing sharply. He would probably have become the leading successor to Raeder ahead of Dönitz. That remains a counterfactual judgment, dependent on bringing the scarce German surface forces home again.