Notable Point · 1:24:46-1:28:16

The Le Havre raid and autumn weather changed the invasion plan

British confidence after the Le Havre raid exceeded the damage inflicted, while French delays carried invasion preparations into worse weather and a missed opportunity to sail.

Notes

French planners revised the invasion into separate operations against Scotland and southern England, expecting a landing on the Clyde to attract about 20,000 Jacobite supporters. A British raid destroyed transports at Le Havre, but some British commanders exaggerated the setback it had inflicted. Hawke and other admirals continued to take the threat seriously. France then proposed sending the Scottish expedition first, with further landings dependent on its success. Assembly delays pushed the operation into autumn, when the Channel became more dangerous. A storm drove the British blockade away for five days after 15 October, but Conflans considered his fleet unready and declined to sail before the British returned. French planners eventually accepted that the crossing required naval support.