Q&A ยท 1:58:41-1:59:19

Japanese planning did not expect a long shipping war

Japan's limited investment in motor shipping and escort capacity reflected expectations of a shorter conflict.

Question

Why did Japan put less emphasis on motor shipping and escorts?

Short answer

Its planning drew on shorter-war experience and did not anticipate the scale of a long Pacific logistics conflict.

Notes

Japanese preparation reflected previous wars and a belief that the next conflict would not become a prolonged struggle of merchant shipping and escorts. Japan's reference points included the Russo-Japanese War, the limited Far Eastern fighting of the First World War, and naval assistance in the Mediterranean. None reproduced the scale or duration of an industrial trans-Pacific shipping war. Real combat experience can still mislead planners when the next war demands a different kind of endurance.