What if the Italian Navy had the fuel to sortie against the Allied landings at Salerno?
Short answerThe fleet is judged to have had the fuel, but a sortie required political cohesion and was expected to fare badly against the Allied covering force.
NotesThe immediate obstacle to a sortie was Italy's political disintegration after Mussolini's removal. A coherent order to attack would send the fleet, which still had fuel, toward a joint Anglo-American covering force between it and the landing ships. Submarines, fleet carriers and battleships would all be available to oppose it, alongside land-based aircraft. A battle combining those forces with the amphibious assault is imagined as a major wartime encounter, but the Italian fleet is expected to fare badly.