Chapter · 15:24-20:33

Why drones reinforce artillery and layered defense

Claims that drones replace artillery repeat older predictions about aircraft and rockets; their strongest effect is often to improve reconnaissance while layered defenses absorb uncertainty.

Notes

Predictions that aircraft, rockets, or changing forms of war would make tube artillery obsolete repeatedly failed because guns remained efficient at delivering massed fire. Drones fit the older observation role: they find targets and correct fire while artillery supplies scalable force. As a drone takes on more payload and tasks, it also becomes larger, more complex, and more expensive. This information advantage supports layered defense, yet institutions repeatedly forget redundancy when promised a cheaper, more efficient single system. War remains adversarial and messy, so ships can still be sunk and even a sound plan can fail because the enemy acts intelligently too.