Q&A · 2:03:26-2:09:18

HMS Victory for Elizabeth I versus nuclear Germany

Sending HMS Victory to the beginning of Elizabeth I's reign is judged the larger historical disruption because it transfers two centuries of naval technology before the Armada and the silver-fleet wars.

Question

Which changes history more: giving First World War Germany nuclear weapons or giving HMS Victory to Elizabeth I?

Short answer

Victory is ultimately favoured because the ship and the knowledge needed to use and copy her would arrive centuries early, giving their effects far longer to alter history.

Notes

The comparison initially draws a vote for nuclear weapons in the First World War, followed by the argument that Victory would have much longer to change events. The scenario places her arrival on 1 January 1559, the first New Year's Day of Elizabeth I's reign. Whether she brings a crew and whether her guns can be copied are raised as practical conditions. With the necessary knowledge, her technology could support a new fleet before the Armada, while Victory herself is judged capable of overwhelming contemporary opponents. Taking Spanish silver fleets could change England's finances and remove much of the need to use Spain as a counterweight to France. The discussion also considers the timber required for replication and the availability of forests before later fleet building. Changes on that scale could alter the development of the Dutch, French and German states long before the alternative First World War scenario.