How a Phantom-capable HMS Eagle could alter the Falklands path

If HMS Eagle avoided grounding and received a Phantom refit, would she survive to the Falklands War?

Possibly, and her presence might deter the war, but workload, refit choices, material condition, and Ark Royal's political appeal could change which carrier survived.

A modernized Eagle and Ark Royal could share deployments, improving the chance that one remains available into the 1980s. A credible conventional carrier might also deter Argentina by removing assumptions that Britain's Sea Harrier force could be overwhelmed. Yet the better-condition ship might be worked harder, while Ark Royal's famous name could attract an expensive rescue refit, so survival cannot be assigned mechanically to Eagle.