What happens if a German submarine warns the High Seas Fleet that the Grand Fleet has sailed during the Jutland operation?
Short answerThe Germans turn for home and recall the First Scouting Group rather than risk meeting the full Grand Fleet.
NotesThe German plan depended on catching only part of the British fleet. Confirmation that the Grand Fleet was already at sea would remove the operational premise for continuing. The High Seas Fleet would reverse course, and the First Scouting Group would be recalled with it. The counterfactual shows the disproportionate value of timely reconnaissance before a fleet action.