Q&A ยท 3:35:58-3:40:12

The 1919 Grand Fleet in the Falklands War

The counterfactual weighs a limited Argentine missile inventory against the Grand Fleet's massed heavy guns and potential naval brigades.

Question

What if the intact 1919 Grand Fleet appeared in 1982 and reached the Falklands before the Royal Navy task force?

Short answer

The old fleet would offer many targets, but Argentina's limited Exocet inventory would face an enormous force. If the ships reached the islands, their heavy guns and potential naval brigades could greatly increase the pressure on shore positions.

Notes

The panel first treats the old fleet as a large collection of targets, then stresses that Argentina had only a limited number of Exocets. Getting the ships to the South Atlantic remains an important condition of the scenario. If they arrived, they could bring extensive shore-bombardment firepower and enough personnel to form naval brigades. The rough count reaches about 380 guns of 12-inch calibre or greater, including as many as 100 15-inch guns if all the named ships were available. These are spoken estimates rather than a reconciled fleet inventory. Tumbledown is used as an exaggerated illustration of what concentrated heavy gunfire could do to a defended position.