Q&A · 3:42:24-3:43:46

A German-Spanish alliance in the Spanish-American War

A great-power counterfactual makes coaling networks and British market power more decisive than alliance labels.

Question

Would German support for Spain deter the United States from the Spanish-American War?

Short answer

Probably not, because Germany lacked the overseas logistics to reach America without British support, and Britain could stop either side's distant operations by controlling coal supply.

Notes

Germany was a European power but could not sustain a transatlantic fleet merely by declaring an alliance. Britain could deny coal by buying available stocks or directing merchants not to sell, and London preferred American rather than German acquisition of Spain's overseas territories.